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The Calvert Surname DNA Project at Family Tree DNA
Project Surnames:
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Calbert |
Calbird |
callbert |
callverde |
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calvard |
calverd |
Calvert |
Calvert Alias Harris |
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Calvert Alias Harrison |
Colbert |
Colvert |
Harris Alias Calvert |
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Harrison Alias Calvert |
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Project Background:
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Aid in family research for Calvert surname genealogical
research or for any of its variant spellings - There are many disparate
Calvert families that have reached roadblocks in tracing their family
origins.
The Y-Chromosome DNA test produces results that can assist in identifying
families with the same DNA structure, providing a means of associating
ancestors with families and family groups. |
Project Goals:
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The purpose of this project is to establish a DNA
repository for the Calvert Surname for as many Calvert Families as possible,
regardless of the spelling of the Surname. Due to known circumstances,
especial related surnames are involved, such as Harris(Harrison). There are
possibly Others.
The Y-DNA testing etablishes a scientific means for proof of Family lineage
in addition to existing documentation, primary or secondary. For those who
have encountered a "Brick Wall" in tracing family ancestry, the DNA study
provides a means of linking such a Surname study to an existing or known
line of Calverts via matching DNA. Indeed, as this project started, 5
results matched that were unexpected.
Intent of the Calvert Surname DNA Project:
Establish - DNA homesite for Genealogical accounting of Calvert DNA which is
intended to be public.
Provide - Assistance to Calvert (sic) Family researchers in proving family
connections and ancestry for Today's Research and for those of the future.
Report – Provide information to the user community on
the current status, significant accomplishments etc.
It is the intent of those who began this study for it to continue.
Coordinators will of course change, but the building of a Data Repository
for Calvert DNA may be extremely Beneficial to those researching Family
Ancestry, but also it may prove invaluable to Historians. In regard to the
Calverts, there continues to be a great deal of interest historically in
regard to the Calvert Lords Baltimore and other families as witnessed by the
fervor with which the public consuming the discovery of the entombment of
individuals at a church in St. Mary’s County, MD.
About DNA:
The Y-chromosome signatures change very slowly over time and the pattern is
usually stable over hundreds of years, but for some unknown and unexpected
reason, a mutation can occur without notice in any generation. Male
relatives who have an uninterrupted male-male link between them will share
the same, or very similar Y-chromosome. The mutation will show a deviance in
a particular Marker. That deviance, in the category of a highly volatile
marker makes matching DNA with exact matching markers impossible in some
cases but does not indicate, for example in a 25 marker test a deviance
which is not acceptable even if two markers are different.
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Understanding Your DNA Sample and results:
Most of us are Laypersons to the study of DNA and the results of DNA
sampling. Moreover, how the results are compared, analyzed and interpreted
are important to understanding how to use the results in order to research
family history.
Among participants whose results have been obtained, the Objective is to
determine the degree of relatedness when considering DNA test results that
are not exact matches.
Surnames begin and end the establishment of the relationship among different
families. When an exact match occurs on a 12 Marker Y DNA test, you have an
excellent tool to determine those whom are and are "not" related within a
group of people that share the same or similar surname.
When a 12 Marker Y DNA test results indicate that two people are related, it
is important to consider the time frame of the oldest known ancestor for
each of the persons being compared. This oldest known ancestor, or MRCA
ancestor of the DNA sample participant, provides the means by which logical
comparison is logically constructed and provides a means by which
genealogists may compare notes, histories and other known factors in order
to establish the use of the scientific data in the inquiry of older less
well documented ancestors. Thus the "Most Recent Common Ancestor" or MRCA
is the key to continued Research.
In order to establish a time frame to the MRCA is shown as a range of time,
with probabilities. Y-DNA testing does not identify the common ancestor, or
specify an exact time frame. Instead, the time frame is a range of
generations, with a probability of whether the common ancestor occurred
within the range.
A 12 marker 12x12 Match:
The range of generations for when the common ancestor occurred, is 1 to 62+
generations at a 95% confidence level. An exact end to the range can not be
scientifically identified. Having a common surname establishes the end of
the range as the time the surname was adopted.
Using a figure of 25 years per generation, the range for the time frame of
the MRCA is 25 to 1550 years. Having a common surname reduces that range.
Surnames evolved at different times in different countries. If, for example,
surnames evolved in your ancestral country in the 1400's, then the range for
the time frame of the MRCA would be 25 to 600 years.
The next step to interpreting your results is to look at the probabilities
associated with the time frame of the MRCA. Scientists calculated these
probabilities, and divided the range of generations into 3 parts, or
subsets. These 3 subsets are the generations to the MRCA at a 50%
probability, a 90% probability, and a 95% probability. For those who are not
familiar with probability, a 50% probability means that half the time the
common ancestor would occur before the number of generations specified, and
half the time the common ancestor would occur after the number of
generations specified. For the 90 and 95% columns in the chart below, these
columns mean that 90, or 95%, of the time, the common ancestor occurred
within the specified generations.
For a 12/12 match, the chart below shows the number of generations for the
common ancestor, and the probability:
Probability 50 90 95
Generations: 14.5 48 62
As shown above, a 12/12 match indicates that 90% of the time, the common
ancestor occurred within 48 generations.
95% of the time, the common ancestor occurred within 62 generations which,
using 25 years per generation is 1550 Years.
It is a general assumption that most surnames were recent... In terms of
Calvert the earliest documented use of the surname is approximately 1400.
Therefore the surname fits the known historical context of written history
and 600 years is very common for Western Europe and English Origins.
It is fair to make the assumption that an MRCA occurred within the period of
600 years for the surname Calvert or a derivative of that Surname.
Scientifically, the two partipants with matching DNA at the 12 Marker test
level have a common ancestor with the same surname or Variant within the
past 600 years.
If the common ancestor has been identified by family history research, and
there is an adequate paper trail, these probabilities aren't significant.
The common ancestor has been identified, and the purpose of the Y DNA
testing is to confirm the research.
When a common ancestor for participants is not known, the scientific data
and probabilities in comparing DNA results become extremely important.
The following comparison demonstrates why this is so and why a 25 Marker
Test becomes more granular and of great importance.
Probability 50 90 95
Generations 7 23 30.4
With a 25 Marker DNA test, the time frame is considerably shorter than with
a match on the 12 Marker test, hence more granular and more certain. Since
the time frame is shorter, roughly halved, we have moved our consideration
of an MRCA from 600 to 300 years.
Documentation and a word of Caution:
It is important to consider the documentation of participants which are
considered proof of ancestry to a certain point in family lineage.
Use accepted Genealogical practices for proof of evidence of family lineage.
Primary documentation itself may be factual, legal and without question,
dependable. But even the application of proof via a paper trail can be based
upon conjecture. Exact data infers exactly that: Exact data. How it is used
to prove that the person to which the data applies is often misused, abused
or accidentally misleading.
It is not the purpose of this project to assume any responsibility for
documenting, verifying or validating sources of documentation or how such
are applied to the history of an individual who is the focus of the study.
The administrators today and will in the future request specificity and
honesty in providing information on family descent.
For users of the data supplied jointly to this website, keep this caution in
mind.
The 12 marker test may be sufficient in some cases but the current
hosts(Administators or facilitators of the Calvert DNA study highly
recommend that the 25 Marker Test be used as the base for scientific data
sampling.
We also highly recommend that those involved with the DNA sampling and
research publish the known ancestors and related material for future use by
other family researches. Make the data available for use, not just the DNA
results.
The Surname Projects in which an MRCA is not identified, we highly recommend
continued pursuit and an upgrade to the 25 marker test. When the existing
results belong to Haplogroup R1b, it is almost essential to use the 25
Markers measurement.
An upgrade to 25 Markers will reduce the time frame for the common ancestor.
In addition, an upgrade to 25 Markers for a 12/12 match may also show that
the participants are not related in a genealogical time period. A 12/12
match could become, for example, a 19/25 match. On the otherhand, there are
many markers which are significantly and statistically hiper, or volatile
and where a -2 match on a 12 marker sample shows an unlikelihood of
ancestral nearness, a -2 or -3 on a 25 marker sample is the opposite.
The table below shows the probabilities and generations for the 25 Marker
Test.
Probability 50% 90% 95%
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12/12 Match 14.5 l48.8 62.0
11/12 Match 36.5 84.7 103.4
25/25 Match 7.0 23.0 30.4
24/25 Match 8.0 41.0 52.0
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The Current DNA Project Results:
Current DNA Project Results are found in the supplied
CALVERT DNA PARTICIPANTS RESULTS TABLE.
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Haplogroups in green have
been confirmed by SNP testing. Haplogroups in red
have been predicted by Family Tree DNA based on unambiguous results in
the individual's personal page. This has been placed on this GAP page for your
ease and convenience. Please note that for any predicted results we see no
reason for ordering a SNP test to confirm the Haplogroup. If a – is in the HAPLO
field then we feel that the comparative results are not clear and unambiguous
and if the kit holder wants to know their SNP with 100% confidence they may
consider ordering a SNP confirmation test.
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DYS 19 is also known as DYS 394.
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It is obvious from our observation of 1000's of samples that some
markers change or mutate at a faster rate than others. While that actual 'faster
rate' has not yet been definitively calculated, not all markers should be
treated the same for evaluation purposes.
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The markers in red have shown a
faster mutation rate then the average, and therefore these markers are very
helpful at splitting lineages into sub sets, or branches, within your family
tree.
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If you match exactly on all of the markers in the table except for
a single marker in a 12 marker comparison (or a few of the markers which have
been determined mutate more quickly) then despite the mutation this mismatch
only slightly decreases the probability of two people in your surname group who
match 11/12 or even 23/25 of not sharing a recent common ancestor.
Use the above information when examining the table(See
the Table.)
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